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KXPHILIPPINESSENATE·closes in 33mo

Who will win the next Philippine Senate election?

YES means Nacionalista

24h volume
0
785 lifetime
Open interest
309
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
31%

A YES contract costs 31¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
69%

costs 77¢

YES bid / ask
23¢ / 31¢
NO bid / ask
69¢ / 77¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,000100¢
  • ask1,00097¢
  • ask1,02892¢
  • ask24992¢
  • ask1050¢
  • ask20033¢
  • ask932¢
  • ask531¢
spread8¢mid 27¢
  • bid20023¢
  • bid416¢
  • bid2002¢
  • bid8912¢
  • bid1,0001¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Philippine Senate election is Nacionalista, then the market resolves to Yes.

For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPHILIPPINESSENATE-28-NACION
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 83¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.