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Musk endorses Democrat for President·closes in 26mo

Will Elon Musk support the Democratic candidate in 2028?

YES means In 2028

24h volume
0
9,069 lifetime
Open interest
2,955
+0 over 7d
Spread
6¢
5 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
10 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 98¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask66699¢
  • ask66698¢
  • ask2,22294¢
  • ask5,04291¢
  • ask55091¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask29111¢
  • ask5008¢
spread6¢mid 5¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid1,0002¢
  • bid1401¢
  • bid2001¢
  • bid8,0021¢
  • bid2,4000¢
  • bid11.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Elon Musk endorses the Democratic candidate for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 4, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Nov 14, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESENDORSEMUSKD-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 10 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15d ago8¢5bought yes
15d ago8¢6bought yes
26d ago2¢289bought no
26d ago2¢5bought no
1mo ago8¢274bought yes
1mo ago8¢20bought yes
2mo ago2¢16bought no
2mo ago4¢177bought no
2mo ago4¢8bought no
2mo ago4¢65bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.