2028 Presidential matchup·closes in 26mo

Will Josh Shapiro and JD Vance be the 2028 Democratic and Republican presidential nominees?

YES means Josh Shapiro v. JD Vance

24h volume: 0; 6,636 lifetime
Open interest: 6,273; +0 over 24h
Spread: 1¢; 13 × 6.67 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask

1¢ / 2¢

NO bid / ask

98¢ / 99¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask2,5006¢
ask655¢
ask3004¢
ask594¢
ask53¢
ask253¢
ask3,5572¢
ask6.672¢

spread1¢mid 2¢

bid131¢
bid261¢
bid3101¢
bid381¢
bid1580¢
bid170¢
bid1920¢
bid1,0800¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Josh Shapiro (D) and JD Vance (R) are the nominees for the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Democratic Nominee (PRESNOM), Republican Nominee (PRESNOM). All conditions must be satisfied for the 2028 presidential election.

Settlement sources

opened: Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 7, 2028 · 10:00 AM UTC
ticker: KXPRESMATCHUP-28NOV07-JSHAJVAN

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.