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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Bernie Sanders

24h volume
8,245
4.47M lifetime
Open interest
3.46M
+1.98M over 90d
Spread
0¢
432.1k × 247.7k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%−0

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6671¢
  • ask51.8k1¢
  • ask30.0k1¢
  • ask42.3k1¢
  • ask93.2k1¢
  • ask22.0k1¢
  • ask700¢
  • ask247.7k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid432.1k0¢
  • bid312.3k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Bernie Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 8, 2025 · 5:46 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-BS
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago0¢3,054bought no
5h ago0¢3,054bought yes
11h ago0¢611bought yes
16h ago0¢1,527bought yes
1d ago0¢611bought yes
1d ago0¢116bought no
2d ago0¢93bought no
2d ago0¢305bought yes
3d ago0¢156bought yes
3d ago0¢305bought yes
3d ago0¢4bought no
4d ago0¢324bought yes
4d ago0¢16bought no
4d ago0¢305bought yes
4d ago0¢305bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.