galdor.xyz
Admin
KXPRESNOMD·closes in 26mo

Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Raphael Warnock

24h volume
10.3k
4.27M lifetime
Open interest
3.15M
Spread
0¢
43.6k × 39.5k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50.0k1¢
  • ask16.7k1¢
  • ask921¢
  • ask31.4k1¢
  • ask40.8k1¢
  • ask101.1k1¢
  • ask25.0k1¢
  • ask39.5k1¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid43.6k1¢
  • bid51.3k0¢
  • bid84.1k0¢
  • bid121.8k0¢
  • bid10.04M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Raphael Warnock wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-RW
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago1¢10.3kbought yes
1d ago1¢711bought yes
1d ago1¢989bought yes
1d ago1¢934bought no
1d ago1¢1,000bought no
2d ago1¢131bought yes
2d ago1¢131bought yes
3d ago1¢4bought no
3d ago1¢2,500bought yes
5d ago1¢16bought yes
5d ago1¢2,000bought no
6d ago1¢3,278bought no
6d ago1¢0.85bought no
6d ago1¢5.02bought no
6d ago1¢2,000bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.