galdor.xyz
Admin
Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Sarah Huckabee Sanders

24h volume
0
1.18M lifetime
Open interest
1.01M
+3,896 over 7d
Spread
0¢
24.4k × 45.1k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 15Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask30.5k2¢
  • ask752¢
  • ask211¢
  • ask238.2k1¢
  • ask1,3291¢
  • ask116.7k1¢
  • ask52.3k1¢
  • ask45.1k1¢
spread0¢mid 1¢
  • bid24.4k1¢
  • bid6730¢
  • bid135.1k0¢
  • bid7710¢
  • bid2.05M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sarah Huckabee Sanders wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMR-28-SHS
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago1¢3,054bought no
2d ago1¢3,896bought yes
3d ago1¢4bought no
5d ago1¢155bought no
5d ago1¢467bought no
6d ago1¢1,555bought no
7d ago1¢3,054bought yes
11d ago1¢420bought yes
11d ago1¢666bought yes
15d ago1¢3,175bought yes
15d ago1¢6,983bought yes
15d ago1¢999bought yes
16d ago1¢778bought yes
16d ago1¢779bought yes
17d ago1¢1,500bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.