Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?
YES means Democratic party
The nominee side is crowded: Ossoff 17¢, Ocasio-Cortez 16¢, Newsom 14¢, Harris 8¢. Nobody above 20¢ two years out is the normal shape, not a signal.
- 24h volume
- 58.1k
- 359.3k lifetime
- Open interest
- 163.4k
- Spread
- 1¢
- 7,129 × 11.6k at the touch
- 24h range
- 56¢ – 75¢
A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 35¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask35273¢
- ask2,04572¢
- ask1,00371¢
- ask28170¢
- ask35369¢
- ask3,26668¢
- ask7,06967¢
- ask11.6k66¢
- bid7,12965¢
- bid5,53864¢
- bid12363¢
- bid10.4k62¢
- bid30061¢
- bid9659¢
- bid10558¢
- bid55357¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Nov 6, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESPARTY-2028-D
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.