Will the Republican party win the Presidency in 2032?
YES means Republican party
- 24h volume
- 0
- 142 lifetime
- Open interest
- 32
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 5,000 × 4 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 53¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask3598¢
- ask1694¢
- ask5,00054¢
- ask453¢
- bid5,00047¢
- bid722¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 2, 2033 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESPARTY-2032-R
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 93¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d ago | 47¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 47¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 29d ago | 53¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.