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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Glenn Youngkin

24h volume
33
1.25M lifetime
Open interest
1.03M
Spread
0¢
80.0k × 129.9k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20.4k1¢
  • ask50.4k1¢
  • ask46.0k1¢
  • ask821¢
  • ask4,0001¢
  • ask60.1k1¢
  • ask8,3231¢
  • ask129.9k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid80.0k0¢
  • bid51.0k0¢
  • bid10.42M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glenn Youngkin is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 10, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-GYOU
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago0¢33bought no
1d ago0¢102bought no
3d ago0¢10bought no
7d ago0¢25bought yes
8d ago0¢4,679bought no
8d ago0¢100bought yes
10d ago0¢11.7kbought yes
10d ago0¢11.7kbought yes
12d ago0¢5,000bought yes
13d ago0¢2,337bought no
14d ago0¢2,337bought yes
14d ago0¢234bought yes
14d ago0¢234bought yes
15d ago0¢467bought yes
15d ago0¢234bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.