Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Tucker Carlson

24h volume
23.9k
2.73M lifetime
Open interest
1.78M
+35.2k over 7d
Spread
0.52 × 2,475 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
Chance of YES
1%0

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 24h high
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask498
  • ask53
  • ask399
  • ask7,969
  • ask14.7k
  • ask436
  • ask8,935
  • ask2,475
spreadmid
  • bid0.52
  • bid41
  • bid12.2k
  • bid7,691
  • bid20.5k
  • bid14.0k
  • bid104.1k
  • bid5,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tucker Carlson is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 18 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.