galdor.xyz
Admin
Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Thomas Massie

24h volume
2,857
1.09M lifetime
Open interest
1.00M
+17.1k over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 856.7k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1048¢
  • ask10.0k7¢
  • ask2446¢
  • ask1105¢
  • ask14.1k4¢
  • ask13.6k3¢
  • ask394.0k2¢
  • ask856.7k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Thomas Massie is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 21 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXPRESPERSON-28-TMAS
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    This event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    This is the only market in its event.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.