Who will win the next presidential election?
YES means Thomas Massie
- 24h volume
- 4,727
- 1.09M lifetime
- Open interest
- 1.01M
- Spread
- 1¢
- 0 × 854.8k at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Thomas Massie is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- May 21 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXPRESPERSON-28-TMAS
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41m ago | 1¢ | 1,870 | bought yes |
| 5h ago | 1¢ | 500 | bought yes |
| 7h ago | 1¢ | 2,339 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 1¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 11h ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 1¢ | 94 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 1¢ | 7,014 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 1¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 1¢ | 87 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 1¢ | 94 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 1¢ | 23 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 1¢ | 94 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 1¢ | 9.35 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 1¢ | 31 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.