Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029·closes in 29mo

Will it be confirmed that Governor is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029?

YES means Governor

24h volume: 0; 0 lifetime
Open interest: 0
Spread: 9¢; 200 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 30¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

100%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask

21¢ / 30¢

NO bid / ask

70¢ / 79¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask1398¢
ask35674¢
ask24573¢
ask772¢
ask20030¢

spread9¢mid 26¢

bid20021¢
bid467¢
bid1776¢
bid1,3272¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Governor is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES. If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO. "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029. Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession. A person who was elected or appointed but never sworn in did NOT hold the office. What each office means: President: President of the United States. Serving as Acting President under Section 3 of the 25th Amendment does NOT count. Vice President: Vice President of the United States. U.S. Senator: a United States Senator. A state senator does NOT count. U.S. Representative: a voting member of the United States House of Representatives. A state representative, a territorial Delegate and the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico do NOT count. Governor: Governor of one of the 50 states or of a United States territory, including a person who succeeded to the office. A Lieutenant Governor temporarily discharging the Governor's duties does NOT count. Mayor: Mayor of any incorporated municipality in the United States, of any population, including in an acting or interim capacity. A city council or county governing board office does NOT count. Cabinet Secretary: a Senate-confirmed head of one of the 15 executive departments, including the Attorney General. An acting head does NOT count, and neither does a Cabinet-rank official who does not head an executive department, such as the U.S. Trade Representative or the Director of National Intelligence. State Legislator: a member of either chamber of the legislature of one of the 50 states.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Feb 1, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Feb 8, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXPRESPRIOROFFICE-29FEB01-GOV

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.