KXRECNCBILL·closes in 9mo

Will a reconciliation bill become law before Jul 1, 2027?

YES means Before Jul 1, 2027

24h volume: 0; 0.14 lifetime
Open interest: 0.14
Spread: 8¢; 5 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

32%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

68%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask

26¢ / 34¢

NO bid / ask

66¢ / 74¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a reconciliation bill has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened: Jul 22 · 7:39 PM UTC
closes: Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXRECNCBILL-26JUL-27JUL01

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	32¢	0.14	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.