Redistricting·closes in 26mo

What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections?

YES means Minnesota

24h volume
0
1,408 lifetime
Open interest
82
+0 over 24h
Spread
29 × 200 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 84¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 20, 5:55 AMSep 21, 5:54 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Minnesota legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in Minnesota as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 7, 2028, the market will resolve to NO

opened
May 11 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXREDISTRICTING-28-MN
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago38¢11bought yes
2mo ago38¢30bought yes
2mo ago34¢100bought yes
2mo ago30¢100bought yes
2mo ago30¢1bought yes
2mo ago26¢100bought yes
2mo ago25¢5bought yes
2mo ago22¢100bought yes
2mo ago18¢29bought yes
2mo ago19¢48bought yes
2mo ago18¢10bought yes
2mo ago18¢100bought yes
2mo ago13¢32bought yes
2mo ago12¢9bought yes
2mo ago12¢29bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.