What states will redistrict before the 2028 Congressional elections?
YES means Pennsylvania
- 24h volume
- 0
- 332 lifetime
- Open interest
- 202
- −10 over 7d
- Spread
- 11¢
- 5 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- 45¢ – 45¢
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 54¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Pennsylvania legislature has adopted new, qualifying congressional district maps after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
These maps must be: Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; AND Not enjoined, vacated, stayed, or struck down in full by any court with jurisdiction over congressional redistricting in Pennsylvania as of the Expiration Date; AND In effect for use in the first scheduled federal election after its adoption For clarity: Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will resolve to YES if they are ultimately in effect by the Expiration Date Maps that are completely redrawn by a court or special master will resolve to NO Maps that are withdrawn by the Legislature before implementation will resolve to NO If no new maps are adopted by Nov 7, 2028, the market will resolve to NO
- opened
- May 11 · 9:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXREDISTRICTING-28-PA
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d ago | 45¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 15d ago | 45¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 48¢ | 9.8 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 48¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 54¢ | 15 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 98¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 48¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 51¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 52¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 50¢ | 90 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.