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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Ed Sheeran be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Ed Sheeran

24h volume
0
326 lifetime
Open interest
176
+0 over 7d
Spread
5¢
0 × 20 at the touch
24h range
–
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3346¢
  • ask145¢
  • ask3844¢
  • ask138¢
  • ask135¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask125¢
  • ask205¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ed Sheeran is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-ED
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 7 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    28d ago5¢9.37bought yes
    1mo ago4¢25bought no
    1mo ago4¢25bought no
    1mo ago4¢50bought no
    1mo ago5¢25bought yes
    1mo ago5¢25bought yes
    2mo ago6¢100bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.