WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Kanye West / Ye be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Kanye West / Ye

24h volume
134
2,317 lifetime
Open interest
1,373
−134 over 7d
Spread
480 × 64 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 3¢
30 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%1

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 98¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 18, 6:00 PMSep 20, 8:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14584¢
  • ask3681¢
  • ask1555¢
  • ask4853¢
  • ask9145¢
  • ask17244¢
  • ask64
spreadmid
  • bid480
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kanye West / Ye is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-KAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 30 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago85bought no
11h ago49bought no
8d ago3.75bought no
15d ago38bought no
16d ago3.75bought yes
16d ago19bought yes
17d ago32bought yes
17d ago68bought yes
18d ago68bought no
24d ago0.93bought no
27d ago1.03bought no
29d ago5.19bought no
30d ago0.93bought yes
1mo ago25bought no
1mo ago25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.