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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will Radiohead be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means Radiohead

24h volume
22
21.6k lifetime
Open interest
11.8k
+97 over 7d
Spread
2¢
33 × 7 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%−2

A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 8¢
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 94¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying36% YES · 64% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask631¢
  • ask10026¢
  • ask1425¢
  • ask324¢
  • ask5016¢
  • ask510¢
  • ask1509¢
  • ask78¢
spread2¢mid 7¢
  • bid336¢
  • bid272¢
  • bid521¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Radiohead is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
May 13 · 7:15 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-RAD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 36% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago6¢22bought no
5d ago8¢47bought yes
5d ago8¢71bought yes
5d ago8¢5.87bought yes
6d ago7¢53bought yes
6d ago7¢20bought yes
6d ago6¢5bought yes
6d ago7¢2.41bought yes
6d ago6¢5bought yes
9d ago3¢8.98bought yes
9d ago7¢18bought yes
9d ago5¢24bought yes
9d ago2¢2bought yes
9d ago6¢47bought yes
9d ago1¢5.55bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.