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WHO WILL HEADLINE COACHELLA?·closes in 16mo

Will sombr be a Headliner at Coachella 2027?

YES means sombr

24h volume
0
925 lifetime
Open interest
713
Spread
3¢
3.87 × 249 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 98¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask76584¢
  • ask24483¢
  • ask26155¢
  • ask1,07554¢
  • ask84353¢
  • ask33551¢
  • ask336¢
  • ask2495¢
spread3¢mid 4¢
  • bid3.872¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If sombr is the Headliner at Coachella 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 10, 2025 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEATEVENTCOACHELLA-27DEC31-SOM
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 15 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11d ago2¢15bought no
28d ago5¢19bought yes
30d ago2¢7bought no
1mo ago4¢12bought no
1mo ago4¢25bought no
1mo ago4¢25bought no
1mo ago4¢4.91bought no
1mo ago4¢37bought no
1mo ago7¢4.33bought yes
1mo ago39¢4.91bought yes
1mo ago10¢5bought no
1mo ago9¢5bought no
1mo ago2¢37bought no
2mo ago7¢304bought yes
2mo ago6¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.