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Will Tate McRae perform as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI?

YES means Tate McRae

24h volume
200
4,075 lifetime
Open interest
3,422
Spread
8¢
5 × 361 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
97%+8

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 11¢

YES bid / ask
89¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 11¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask36197¢
spread8¢mid 93¢
  • bid589¢
  • bid1187¢
  • bid10086¢
  • bid184¢
  • bid667¢
  • bid5566¢
  • bid6661¢
  • bid50060¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tate McRae performs as an in-game radio artist at launch in GTA VI, then the market resolves to Yes.

“In-game radio artist” means aespa is officially announced, credited, or otherwise confirmed as having music featured on an in-game radio station in the version of Grand Theft Auto VI available at launch, or aespa’s music is actually playable through an in-game radio station at launch. An official announcement that aespa will be featured on an in-game radio station is sufficient, even if the relevant content is subsequently removed before launch. Music appearing only in trailers, advertisements, promotional materials, or other non-game content does not qualify. Music added to an in-game radio station only after launch does not qualify. Rumors, leaks, datamines, or reports that do not constitute an official announcement or confirmation do not qualify.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 16 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 26, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 20, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEINPRODUCTION-GTA27NOV19-TMCR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12h ago97¢189bought yes
12h ago96¢1bought yes
12h ago96¢10bought yes
2d ago89¢49bought yes
2d ago88¢100bought yes
2d ago88¢1bought yes
2d ago88¢49bought yes
4d ago78¢72bought no
4d ago76¢3bought yes
4d ago80¢797bought yes
4d ago80¢500bought yes
4d ago80¢50bought yes
4d ago69¢5bought yes
4d ago68¢5bought yes
4d ago75¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.