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Will Macklemore perform as the opening act in Ed Sheeran 's Loop Tour 2026?

YES means Macklemore

24h volume
0
1.08 lifetime
Open interest
1.08
+1.08 over 90d
Spread
95¢
5 × 170 at the touch
24h range
–
1 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 98¢
NO bid / ask
2¢ / 97¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 4:00 AMSep 21, 4:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask17098¢
spread95¢mid 51¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid1022¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Macklemore performs as the opening act in Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 after issuance and before Dec 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Macklemore satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Macklemore is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform the opening act in Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Macklemore appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as the opening act in any official performance, showing, or release of Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026. Additional clarification(s): If Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Macklemore was officially announced in the opening act, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for the opening act (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Macklemore is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour 2026 is cancelled or completes its run without Macklemore being announced or performing in the opening act, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for the opening act.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 4:17 PM UTC
closes
Dec 19 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 13 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXROLEINPRODUCTION-MAC26DEC12-MAC
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Macklemore open for Ed Sheeran's Loop Tour again?.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago8¢1.08bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.