Will Marco Rubio announce a run for President of the United States before Oct 1, 2027?
YES means Before Oct 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 671 lifetime
- Open interest
- 498
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 54¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 54¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Marco Rubio has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
- opened
- Apr 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXRUBIORUN-28-27OCT01
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d ago | 50¢ | 50 | bought no |
| 20d ago | 67¢ | 2.91 | bought yes |
| 30d ago | 55¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 30d ago | 57¢ | 45 | bought no |
| 30d ago | 60¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 64¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 63¢ | 0.75 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 65¢ | 51 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 58¢ | 0.75 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 64¢ | 0.75 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.