Men's Rugby World Cup Winner·closes in 14mo

Will France win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup?

YES means France

24h volume: 0; 45 lifetime
Open interest: 30; +0 over 7d
Spread: 94¢; 20 × 146 at the touch
24h range: –; 8 recent trades

Chance of YES

97%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask

3¢ / 97¢

NO bid / ask

3¢ / 97¢

Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask9099¢
ask14697¢

spread94¢mid 50¢

bid203¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If France wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves to Yes if France is declared the winner of the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup by World Rugby. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 31 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXRUGBYWC-27-FRA

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 103¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
4d ago	97¢	20	bought yes
7d ago	97¢	0.58	bought yes
8d ago	12¢	2	bought no
9d ago	12¢	1.97	bought no
9d ago	60¢	0.03	bought no
11d ago	60¢	4.55	bought no
13d ago	60¢	5.51	bought no
16d ago	99¢	10	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.