Men's Rugby World Cup Winner·closes in 14mo

Will France win the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup?

YES means France

24h volume
0
45 lifetime
Open interest
30
+30 over 90d
Spread
94¢
20 × 146 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 99¢
Chance of YES
97%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
3%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 97¢
NO bid / ask
/ 97¢
24h low 12¢24h high 99¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 6Sep 17

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9099¢
  • ask14697¢
spread94¢mid 50¢
  • bid20
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If France wins the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market resolves to Yes if France is declared the winner of the 2027 Men's Rugby World Cup by World Rugby. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 31 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 13, 2027 · 11:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXRUGBYWC-27-FRA
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.