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Bernie Sanders Run For President·closes in 26mo

Will Bernie Sanders run for President of The United States?

YES means Before November 4, 2028

24h volume
0
22.4k lifetime
Open interest
8,947
Spread
5¢
10 × 800 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 90¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,72762¢
  • ask1,68161¢
  • ask13548¢
  • ask13042¢
  • ask14036¢
  • ask12028¢
  • ask124¢
  • ask80015¢
spread5¢mid 13¢
  • bid1010¢
  • bid889¢
  • bid5009¢
  • bid1507¢
  • bid2805¢
  • bid4005¢
  • bid174¢
  • bid4504¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Bernie Sanders runs for President of The United States before Nov 4, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Note: FEC filings alone do not resolve this market to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 29, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 4, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 4, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSANDERSPRES-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago10¢5bought no
1d ago10¢105bought no
8d ago10¢5.51bought no
8d ago17¢10bought yes
13d ago10¢0.34bought no
23d ago15¢5bought yes
1mo ago12¢17bought no
1mo ago12¢56bought no
2mo ago15¢164bought yes
2mo ago11¢150bought yes
2mo ago11¢1bought yes
2mo ago11¢99bought yes
2mo ago16¢175bought yes
2mo ago19¢10bought yes
2mo ago18¢150bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.