Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Apple Inc. in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc.
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0.24 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- Spread
- 10¢
- 200 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 82¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 28¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask14098¢
- ask20082¢
- bid20072¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc., rules civil contempt may not be based on violating an injunction’s “spirit” when the injunction does not clearly and unambiguously prohibit the precise conduct at issue, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court, in Apple Inc. v. Epic Games, Inc., has ruled that a party may be held in civil contempt only for violating an injunction that clearly and unambiguously proscribes the precise conduct at issue, and not merely for violating the injunction’s “spirit” where the injunction is silent as to that conduct, before August 1, 2028. A decision adopting that legal standard and remanding for its application resolves to Yes. A decision permitting civil contempt based on the injunction’s “spirit” despite such silence resolves to No. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded without resolving the granted question on the merits, the market resolves to No.
- opened
- Jul 23 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-APPEPI28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will SCOTUS bar contempt for conduct not clearly prohibited by an injunction?.
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 73¢ | 0.12 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 81¢ | 0.12 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.