Supreme Court decisions·closes in 23mo

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Thomas Crowther et al. in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia

YES means Before Aug 1, 2028

24h volume
0
162 lifetime
Open interest
107
Spread
200 × 10 at the touch
24h range
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask
30¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 70¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask593¢
  • ask67790¢
  • ask28087¢
  • ask1,32585¢
  • ask20084¢
  • ask31769¢
  • ask20040¢
  • ask1039¢
spreadmid 35¢
  • bid20030¢
  • bid19510¢
  • bid5
  • bid1,254
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Supreme Court, in Crowther v. Board of Regents of the University System of Georgia, rules employees of federally funded educational institutions may sue their employers under Title IX for sex discrimination in employment, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that Title IX provides employees of federally funded educational institutions a private right of action to sue for sex discrimination in employment, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that Title IX provides no such private right of action. If the case is dismissed, found improvidently granted, or remanded or otherwise disposed of without deciding whether such a private right of action exists, the market resolves to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-CROBOA28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
27d ago31¢10bought no
27d ago32¢5bought no
27d ago30¢13bought no
28d ago38¢23bought yes
28d ago37¢5bought yes
28d ago32¢5bought no
28d ago31¢102bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.