Supreme Court decisions·closes in 23mo

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Leonard W. Hoffmann et al. in Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc.

YES means Before Aug 1, 2028

24h volume
0
459 lifetime
Open interest
405
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
54%

A YES contract costs 55¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
46%

costs 55¢

YES bid / ask
45¢ / 55¢
NO bid / ask
45¢ / 55¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Supreme Court, in Hoffmann v. WBI Energy Transmission, Inc., rules state law governs the determination of just compensation in private condemnations under the Natural Gas Act, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court has ruled that, in private condemnations under the Natural Gas Act, just compensation must be determined by reference to state law, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that compensation is governed solely by federal law, including the constitutional minimum required by the Fifth Amendment, or if the case is dismissed, found to have been improvidently granted, remanded, or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling on whether state law governs the determination of compensation.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-HOFWBI28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will SCOTUS require state-law compensation in private natural-gas condemnations?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.