Supreme Court decisions·closes in 23mo

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Floyd D. Johnson in Johnson v. United States Congress

YES means Before Aug 1, 2028

24h volume
0
171 lifetime
Open interest
171
+0 over 24h
Spread
1 × 200 at the touch
24h range
6 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 34¢

YES bid / ask
66¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 34¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 5:53 PMSep 20, 9:07 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6496¢
  • ask1,17095¢
  • ask1,37394¢
  • ask21993¢
  • ask10590¢
  • ask7389¢
  • ask7188¢
  • ask20075¢
spreadmid 71¢
  • bid166¢
  • bid20065¢
  • bid20015¢
  • bid53914¢
  • bid5
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Supreme Court, in Johnson v. United States Congress, rules the Veterans’ Judicial Review Act did not strip district courts of jurisdiction to hear constitutional challenges to acts of Congress affecting veterans’ benefits, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Veterans’ Judicial Review Act did not strip federal district courts of the jurisdiction recognized in Johnson v. Robison to hear challenges to the constitutionality of acts of Congress affecting veterans’ benefits, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that the Act stripped district courts of that jurisdiction. If the case is dismissed, settled, found to have been improvidently granted, or remanded or otherwise disposed of without a merits ruling resolving that jurisdictional question, the market resolves to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOTUSCASE-JOHUSA28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?.

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18d ago74¢50bought yes
1mo ago74¢100bought yes
2mo ago73¢1bought yes
2mo ago74¢20bought yes
2mo ago66¢0.13bought no
2mo ago74¢0.13bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.