Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kenneth J. Jouppi in Jouppi v. Alaska
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 0.22 lifetime
- Open interest
- 0
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 10¢
- 200 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 2 recent trades
A YES contract costs 85¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 25¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask34898¢
- ask20085¢
- bid20075¢
- bid25017¢
- bid57916¢
- bid53¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in Jouppi v. Alaska, rules courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing, rather than evaluating the underlying offense purely in the abstract, when applying the Excessive Fines Clause, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, in determining whether a fine contravenes the Excessive Fines Clause, courts must consider the gravity of the specific defendant’s wrongdoing and may not evaluate the gravity of the underlying offense purely in the abstract, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A remand accompanied by a merits ruling establishing this requirement resolves to Yes. If the Court holds that courts may assess the offense’s gravity purely in the abstract, dismisses the case, dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, or remands or otherwise disposes of the case without a merits ruling establishing this requirement, the market resolves to No.
- opened
- Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-JOUALA28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will SCOTUS require courts to consider a defendant’s specific wrongdoing in excessive-fines cases?.
Recent trades
Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo ago | 76¢ | 0.11 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 84¢ | 0.11 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.