Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Kevin Isaac Montoya Palacios in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 200 lifetime
- Open interest
- 200
- Spread
- 10¢
- 200 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 44¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10199¢
- ask2,40694¢
- ask32292¢
- ask50990¢
- ask20089¢
- ask10886¢
- ask9984¢
- ask20066¢
- bid20056¢
- bid17526¢
- bid25125¢
- bid512¢
- bid19511¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in Montoya Palacios v. Liggins, rules the Equal Access to Justice Act’s phrase “any civil action” encompasses a habeas action challenging civil immigration detention, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that, under the Equal Access to Justice Act, “any civil action” encompasses an action seeking a writ of habeas corpus to challenge civil immigration detention, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A merits ruling answering that question affirmatively resolves the market to Yes even if the Court remands for further proceedings concerning the availability or amount of fees. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a habeas action is not encompassed by “any civil action,” dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, dismisses the case, or remands without resolving the Question Presented.
- opened
- Jul 24 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-MONLIG28
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.