Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County
YES means Before Aug 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 803 lifetime
- Open interest
- 2.72
- −397 over 90d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 5 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 6 recent trades
A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 36¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask15296¢
- ask1,46695¢
- ask1,79994¢
- ask27892¢
- ask16486¢
- ask21985¢
- ask20073¢
- bid564¢
- bid20063¢
- bid25012¢
- bid70411¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Supreme Court, in Suncor Energy (U.S.A.) Inc. v. Commissioners of Boulder County, rules that federal law precludes Boulder County and the City of Boulder’s state-law claims seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions’ effects on the global climate, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that federal law precludes the state-law claims at issue seeking relief for injuries allegedly caused by the effects of interstate and international greenhouse-gas emissions on the global climate, after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. A ruling only that the Court has statutory and Article III jurisdiction does not satisfy the criterion. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that federal law does not preclude those claims, holds that it lacks jurisdiction, dismisses the writ as improvidently granted, or otherwise dismisses or remands the case without ruling on the merits described above.
- opened
- Jul 22 · 8:59 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSCASE-SUNCOM26
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?.
Recent trades
Over the last 6 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27d ago | 72¢ | 400 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 72¢ | 2.72 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 67¢ | 0.13 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 75¢ | 0.13 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 71¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 75¢ | 200 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.