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SCOTUS size change·closes in 28mo

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
0
5,369 lifetime
Open interest
1,802
Spread
2¢
350 × 38 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask57653¢
  • ask1,40637¢
  • ask99036¢
  • ask118¢
  • ask5014¢
  • ask4.269¢
  • ask2007¢
  • ask383¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid3501¢
  • bid2251¢
  • bid2,5421¢
  • bid3601¢
  • bid4,0000¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the number of total seats for justices of the Supreme Court of the United States has been expanded or contracted after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOTUSCHANGE-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago1¢5.05bought no
11d ago3¢16bought yes
26d ago3¢1bought yes
26d ago3¢1bought yes
30d ago3¢2bought yes
1mo ago3¢3bought yes
1mo ago1¢3bought no
2mo ago1¢3bought no
2mo ago1¢65bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.