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Next SCOTUS justice·closes in 28mo

Will Stuart Kyle Duncan become the next Justice on the Supreme Court?

YES means Stuart Kyle Duncan

24h volume
0
10.6k lifetime
Open interest
7,319
Spread
0¢
5.92 × 3,335 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4003¢
  • ask822¢
  • ask3.081¢
  • ask491¢
  • ask1061¢
  • ask311¢
  • ask1,5251¢
  • ask3,3350¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid5.920¢
  • bid2500¢
  • bid1,4750¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Stuart Kyle Duncan is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 7, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSCOURT-29-SKD
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago0¢2bought no
1d ago0¢2bought yes
21d ago0¢2bought no
21d ago0¢2bought yes
21d ago0¢2bought no
21d ago0¢2bought yes
26d ago0¢1bought no
26d ago0¢979bought no
26d ago0¢20bought no
27d ago0¢12bought no
1mo ago0¢10bought yes
1mo ago0¢5bought yes
1mo ago0¢5bought yes
1mo ago0¢2bought no
1mo ago0¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.