Will Mark Warner win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?
YES means Mark Warner
- 24h volume
- 0
- 86 lifetime
- Open interest
- 84
- Spread
- 2¢
- 999 × 332 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 3 recent trades
A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10.5k83¢
- ask60182¢
- ask1,21450¢
- ask1,71245¢
- ask2,60944¢
- ask1,23420¢
- ask1,2312¢
- ask3322¢
- bid9990¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Mark Warner wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.
- opened
- Nov 25, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSENATEDEMLEAD-28JAN01-MWAR
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 3 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13d ago | 0¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 0¢ | 80 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.