Democratic nominee for New York Senate·closes in 38mo

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?

YES means Zohran Mamdani

24h volume: 0; 402 lifetime
Open interest: 381; +134 over 30d
Spread: 9¢; 84 × 125 at the touch
24h range: –; 5 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

95%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask

1¢ / 10¢

NO bid / ask

90¢ / 99¢

Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask100.0k99¢
ask2,83897¢
ask24696¢
ask112¢
ask12510¢

spread9¢mid 5¢

bid841¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zohran Mamdani wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2028 Class III New York Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Democratic Party of New York

opened: Jun 25 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes: Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXSENATENYD-28-ZMAM

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 44¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
3d ago	5¢	134	bought yes
23d ago	2¢	5.09	bought no
2mo ago	9¢	52	bought yes
2mo ago	7¢	50	bought yes
2mo ago	8¢	15	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.