Will HART push back Skyline's opening date?·closes in 16mo

Will the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) announce a revised date for the start of Skyline passenger service to Kaʻākaukukui (Civic Center) Station that falls later than March 31, 2031, or that station's indefinite deferral before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Yes

24h volume: 0; 1.57 lifetime
Open interest: 1.57; +1.57 over 30d
Spread: 1¢; 52 × 2,142 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

62%

A YES contract costs 63¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

38%

costs 38¢

YES bid / ask

62¢ / 63¢

NO bid / ask

37¢ / 38¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask2,05799¢
ask1,40097¢
ask2893¢
ask1,66192¢
ask5191¢
ask20090¢
ask2,14263¢

spread1¢mid 63¢

bid5262¢
bid2,71761¢
bid50058¢
bid1,77227¢
bid483¢
bid2002¢
bid2,0551¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) announces a revised date for the start of Skyline passenger service to Kaʻākaukukui (Civic Center) Station that falls later than March 31, 2031, or that station's indefinite deferral before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources

Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation

opened: Aug 17 · 6:47 PM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXSKYLINEDELAY-26AUG-28JAN01

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will HART push back Skyline's 2031 opening date?.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
6d ago	62¢	1.57	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.