Fox wins summary judgment against Smartmatic·closes in 16mo

Will a New York State court rule grants Fox Corporation and Fox News Network, LLC summary judgment dismissing all of Smartmatic's remaining claims against them?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
5
600 lifetime
Open interest
520
+500 over 90d
Spread
200 × 10 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 25¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%+3

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 75¢
24h low 25¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volAug 21Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9199¢
  • ask1798¢
  • ask20072¢
  • ask671¢
  • ask42170¢
  • ask20035¢
  • ask6027¢
  • ask1026¢
spreadmid 26¢
  • bid20025¢
  • bid200
  • bid421
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a New York State court grants Fox Corporation and Fox News Network, LLC summary judgment dismissing all of Smartmatic's remaining claims against them in Smartmatic USA Corp. v. Fox Corp., Index No. 151136/2021, or any appeal thereof before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Every claim Smartmatic still asserts against both Fox Corporation and Fox News Network, LLC must be dismissed. Claims that remain against any other defendant, and Fox's own counterclaims, do not prevent a YES. The ruling must: Be issued by a New York State court in Smartmatic USA Corp. v. Fox Corp., Index No. 151136/2021, or any appeal of it Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: The March 8, 2022 decision, or any later decision, holding that Smartmatic's claims have a substantial basis in law or that actual malice is adequately alleged Denial of Fox's motion for summary judgment An order that dismisses only some claims, some broadcasts or some defendants while the rest proceed A jury verdict or a judgment entered on one Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order Tentative rulings that are not made final Settlements or voluntary dismissals Administrative or scheduling orders

opened
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSMARTMATICSJ-FOX28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago25¢5bought no
4d ago23¢10bought no
4d ago22¢101bought no
4d ago24¢100bought no
9d ago25¢75bought no
12d ago26¢3.98bought no
19d ago26¢200bought no
25d ago26¢5bought no
25d ago27¢5bought no
1mo ago27¢75bought no
1mo ago27¢20bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.