SOL Min monthly·closes in 10d

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $85.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $85.00

24h volume
0
842 lifetime
Open interest
837
Spread
134 × 466 at the touch
24h range
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
Recent buying33% YES · 67% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2545¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask1830¢
  • ask2025¢
  • ask3,000
  • ask53
  • ask466
spreadmid
  • bid134
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $85.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
85
ticker
KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26SEP30-8500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago4.68bought yes
3d ago94bought no
3d ago59bought yes
3d ago471bought no
5d ago33¢10bought yes
5d ago32¢20bought yes
5d ago27¢67bought yes
5d ago26¢71bought yes
6d ago16¢5.26bought yes
10d ago23¢0.25bought yes
10d ago19¢0.11bought no
10d ago25¢0.11bought yes
13d ago14¢34bought yes
14d ago10¢0.25bought no
17d ago22¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.