SOL Min monthly·closes in 10d

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $95.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $95.00

24h volume
50
5,043 lifetime
Open interest
2,750
Spread
83 × 173 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 21¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
15%1

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
/ 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 91¢
24h low 15¢24h high 21¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3398¢
  • ask528¢
  • ask527¢
  • ask524¢
  • ask3,00015¢
  • ask17314¢
spreadmid 12¢
  • bid83
  • bid5
  • bid94
  • bid3,009
  • bid34
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $95.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
95
ticker
KXSOLMINMON-SOL-26SEP30-9500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago15¢0.62bought yes
21h ago21¢11bought yes
21h ago21¢39bought yes
1d ago14¢2bought yes
1d ago16¢10bought yes
1d ago14¢33bought yes
1d ago14¢0.68bought yes
2d ago11¢77bought yes
2d ago179bought yes
2d ago532bought yes
2d ago4.33bought no
2d ago23¢13bought no
2d ago23¢5bought no
3d ago25¢4.33bought yes
3d ago26¢18bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.