Sol Min Yearly·closes in 3mo

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $35.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $35.00

24h volume
0
865 lifetime
Open interest
860
Spread
11¢
0 × 2.5 at the touch
24h range
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 100¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3090¢
  • ask1086¢
  • ask2,00026¢
  • ask5725¢
  • ask10012¢
  • ask2.511¢
spreadmid
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $35.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

    At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
    cap
    35
    ticker
    KXSOLMINY-SOL-26DEC31-3500
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2mo ago38¢100bought no
    2mo ago31¢2bought no
    2mo ago30¢85bought no
    2mo ago31¢15bought no
    2mo ago31¢3bought yes
    2mo ago30¢118bought no
    2mo ago30¢200bought no
    2mo ago31¢5bought no
    2mo ago31¢27bought no
    2mo ago30¢88bought no
    2mo ago32¢12bought no
    2mo ago32¢5bought no
    2mo ago35¢100bought no
    2mo ago35¢100bought no
    2mo ago37¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.