KXSOLMINY·closes in 3mo

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $45.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $45.00

24h volume
0
810 lifetime
Open interest
597
Spread
18¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/ 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 96¢
Recent buying22% YES · 78% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2582¢
  • ask2,00037¢
  • ask5135¢
  • ask3.5834¢
  • ask10022¢
spread18¢mid 13¢
  • bid5
  • bid103
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $45.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
45
ticker
KXSOLMINY-SOL-26DEC31-4500
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 22% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago19¢10bought no
5d ago19¢50bought no
5d ago20¢33bought no
5d ago20¢7bought no
5d ago20¢46bought no
5d ago20¢15bought no
5d ago31¢46bought yes
5d ago30¢1.68bought yes
1mo ago19¢10bought yes
1mo ago25¢14bought yes
1mo ago17¢50bought yes
1mo ago17¢50bought yes
2mo ago48¢100bought no
2mo ago49¢100bought no
2mo ago43¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.