Sol Min Yearly·closes in 3mo

Will SOL trimmed mean be below $70.00 by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026?

YES means Below $70.00

24h volume
7.97
2,665 lifetime
Open interest
1,805
+0 over 24h
Spread
16¢
6 × 31 at the touch
24h range
36¢ – 36¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%+18

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 82¢
24h low 36¢24h high 36¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 20, 3:21 AMSep 21, 3:19 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,00042¢
  • ask2341¢
  • ask5138¢
  • ask10037¢
  • ask136¢
  • ask1535¢
  • ask3134¢
spread16¢mid 26¢
  • bid618¢
  • bid10017¢
  • bid116¢
  • bid114¢
  • bid1011¢
  • bid2,00010¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of SOL after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026 is ever below $70.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF SOLUSD_RTI price for SOL. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 22 · 4:43 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC
cap
70
ticker
KXSOLMINY-SOL-26DEC31-7000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago36¢7.97bought yes
2d ago19¢1bought no
2d ago19¢38bought no
2d ago18¢32bought no
2d ago18¢50bought no
3d ago31¢1bought no
3d ago33¢1bought no
3d ago29¢0.23bought no
3d ago33¢5bought no
5d ago38¢1bought no
5d ago38¢5bought no
5d ago39¢100bought no
5d ago40¢1bought no
5d ago39¢23bought no
5d ago39¢77bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.