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LBJ owning team·closes in 40mo

Will LeBron James be a majority owner of a pro men's basketball team before 2030?

YES means Before 2030

24h volume
0
8,634 lifetime
Open interest
2,243
−17 over 30d
Spread
13¢
10 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
16 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 98¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4795¢
  • ask1394¢
  • ask37370¢
  • ask9031¢
  • ask10016¢
  • ask215¢
spread13¢mid 9¢
  • bid102¢
  • bid10.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If LeBron James is a majority owner of a men's Pro Basketball team before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 8:45 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSPORTSOWNERLBJ-30
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will LeBron James be a majority owner of a men's Pro Basketball team before 2030?.

Recent trades

Over the last 16 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago8¢2bought no
21d ago7¢11bought no
29d ago7¢6bought no
2mo ago7¢10bought no
2mo ago7¢6.29bought no
2mo ago15¢126bought yes
2mo ago15¢94bought yes
2mo ago15¢5bought yes
2mo ago15¢11bought yes
2mo ago7¢72bought no
2mo ago7¢13bought no
2mo ago7¢8.37bought no
2mo ago7¢9.33bought no
2mo ago16¢18bought yes
2mo ago7¢8.63bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.