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Spotify Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Spotify Technology S.A. report Above 316 million premium subscribers in 2026?

YES means Above 316 million

24h volume
0
3,082 lifetime
Open interest
1,364
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
5 × 19 at the touch
24h range
–
19 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 98¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 6:31 AMSep 21, 3:48 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10098¢
  • ask0.9411¢
  • ask1910¢
spread8¢mid 6¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spotify Technology S.A. reports Above 316000000 premium subscribers in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
316000000
ticker
KXSPOTA-28JANPREMSUBS-316000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 19 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22d ago2¢0.94bought no
1mo ago44¢1.83bought no
1mo ago45¢0.06bought no
1mo ago46¢19bought no
2mo ago51¢11bought yes
2mo ago50¢9.47bought yes
2mo ago45¢9.47bought no
2mo ago51¢9.47bought yes
2mo ago45¢0.94bought no
2mo ago51¢0.94bought yes
2mo ago51¢1.89bought yes
2mo ago51¢0.94bought yes
2mo ago51¢0.01bought yes
2mo ago51¢1.86bought yes
2mo ago44¢19bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.