Starships dock·closes in 16mo

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
11
56.9k lifetime
Open interest
31.5k
+153 over 7d
Spread
86 × 15 at the touch
24h range
68¢ – 69¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%+11

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 56¢
24h low 68¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢70¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8.8176¢
  • ask1,75075¢
  • ask41073¢
  • ask1,03172¢
  • ask1,49471¢
  • ask10070¢
  • ask20050¢
  • ask1549¢
spreadmid 47¢
  • bid8644¢
  • bid2543¢
  • bid27742¢
  • bid6833¢
  • bid95232¢
  • bid1,00031¢
  • bid3025¢
  • bid7020¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If two SpaceX Starships (any kind of Starship – e.g. tankers, depots, testing vehicles) successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 19, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
22h ago68¢1bought yes
22h ago69¢10bought yes
1d ago58¢5bought no
1d ago70¢7bought yes
1d ago72¢136bought yes
3d ago50¢10bought no
4d ago53¢3.52bought no
5d ago56¢1.73bought yes
7d ago53¢11bought no
7d ago55¢21bought yes
8d ago55¢3.52bought yes
8d ago70¢3bought yes
8d ago64¢0.44bought yes
8d ago64¢2.56bought yes
8d ago64¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.