Starships dock·closes in 16mo

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
11
56.9k lifetime
Open interest
31.5k
+5,511 over 90d
Spread
86 × 15 at the touch
24h range
43¢ – 72¢
Chance of YES
69%+11

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 56¢

YES bid / ask
44¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 56¢
24h low 43¢24h high 72¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

40¢50¢60¢70¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If two SpaceX Starships (any kind of Starship – e.g. tankers, depots, testing vehicles) successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 19, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSTARSHIPDOCK-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.