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SuperSonic ban ended·closes in 16mo

Will the ban on supersonic flight over land end before 2028?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
0
19.9k lifetime
Open interest
4,061
+0 over 24h
Spread
9¢
200 × 250 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
43%

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
57%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 53¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢volSep 20, 7:06 AMSep 20, 11:43 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask75478¢
  • ask57477¢
  • ask3476¢
  • ask1675¢
  • ask1269¢
  • ask7464¢
  • ask1362¢
  • ask25056¢
spread9¢mid 52¢
  • bid20047¢
  • bid543¢
  • bid542¢
  • bid48341¢
  • bid235¢
  • bid2527¢
  • bid2026¢
  • bid1.7325¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the FAA's ban on civilian supersonic flight over land ends before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 1, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXSUPERSONIC-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago43¢228bought no
3d ago45¢250bought no
3d ago61¢5bought no
13d ago61¢2.87bought no
19d ago60¢9bought no
19d ago60¢0.75bought no
19d ago65¢0.75bought yes
28d ago61¢139bought no
28d ago62¢0.12bought no
28d ago62¢5bought no
28d ago61¢158bought no
1mo ago68¢2.87bought yes
1mo ago68¢1bought yes
1mo ago68¢28bought yes
1mo ago62¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.