Taft-Hartley Act·closes in 28mo

Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?

YES means Before Jan 20, 2029

24h volume
0
4,954 lifetime
Open interest
133
+0 over 7d
Spread
10 × 8 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 74¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask29484¢
  • ask20083¢
  • ask51371¢
  • ask16069¢
  • ask24267¢
  • ask2637¢
  • ask20035¢
  • ask834¢
spreadmid 30¢
  • bid1026¢
  • bid20025¢
  • bid2513¢
  • bid200
  • bid500
  • bid824
  • bid600
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President has invoked the Taft-Hartley Act’s national emergency provisions in Section 206 of the Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Mar 22, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTAFTHARTLEY-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump invoke the Taft-Hartley Act during his presidency?.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
30d ago33¢2bought yes
2mo ago34¢0.13bought yes
2mo ago27¢0.13bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.